Kernenergie en veiligheid: A wargame sought to test if a major radiological release that would prompt the evacuation of millions of civilians in South Korea could distract key US allies from assisting and rebuffing an all-out military invasion of Taiwan. The short answer was yes.
The game originally presumed that China, wanting to keep the United States, South Korea, and Japan out of a fight over Taiwan, would ask North Korea to strike the Kori nuclear power plant in South Korea to force massive evacuations. But a brief by Joshua Stanton, an expert on North Korea, changed that scenario significantly. Stanton argued that a North Korean military offensive was not the only threat Seoul faced. In addition, military planners need to worry about what South Koreans sympathetic to the North might do.

Lees meer in The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 5, 2025