Stichting Laka

Publicatie Laka-bibliotheek:
Secure Energy? Civil nuclear power, security and global warming (2007)

AuteurOxford Research Group
Datummaart 2007
Classificatie 2.05.0.00/54 (GROOT-BRITTANNIË - ALGEMEEN)
Voorkant

Uit de publicatie:

Executive Summary

Is nuclear power dangerous? Can it help reduce CO2 emissions? The short answer 
to the first questions is 'very': nuclear power is uniquely dangerous when compared 
to other energy sources. For the second question the answer is 'not enough and not 
in time'.

Why then, is official support for nuclear power growing? Many decision-makers in 
the UK and elsewhere believe that the security risks can be managed. As this report 
will show, such confidence is misplaced. Unless the risks a re thoroughly reviewed, 
we shall steer ourselves into uncharted and very dangerous waters.

This report compares (a) the security consequences of civil nuclear power to (b) its 
contribution to reducing C02 emissions. In 2006 the UK Department of Trade and 
Industry (DTI) published the results of a public consultation into energy policy, 
including the future of nuclear power, in a report called "The Energy Challenge" 1 
According to "The Energy Challenge" the benefits of (b) outweigh the costs of (a).

As far as the security risks associated with nuclear power are concerned, DTI tries 
to calm fears about security using the following two claims:

• "the international security situation is expected to remain at current levels in the
medium to long term"; and
• the Office for Civil Nuclear Security (OCNS) "considers that new nuclear build 
would be unlikely to increase risks to the UK." 2

Where is the evidence for these claims? It is not to be found in "The Energy 
Challenge". In 2004, the OCNS judged that: "security threats are seldom constant", 3 
and in 2002 the UK Performance and Innovation Unit of the UK Cabinet Office 
concluded that "concerns about radioactive waste and low probability but high 
consequence hazards may limit or preclude its use." 4  (Emphasis added)

What changed between 2004 and the publication of "The Energy Challenge"? 
Having reviewed the evidence, ORG concludes that a civil nuclear power 
renaissance would:

• increase the risk of nuclear terrorism in the UK;
• make efforts to control the spread of nuclear weapons much harder;
• make an insignificant contribution to lowering C02 emissions; and
• make a negligible contribution to energy security.

In the face of uncertainty we must analyse influences on conflict and security, make 
judgements about future risks and implement appropriate policies. To this end the 
Ministry of Defence (MoD) Development, Doctrine and Concepts Centre (DDCC) 
published "Strategic Trends" (2003 1 2006). This reports sets out "a coherent view of 
how the world might develop over the next thirty years [to 2030] in ways that could 
alter the UK's security." The authors of this report had "access to most relevant UK 
intelligence. " 5

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