Publication Laka-library:
The rise of the autocratic nuclear marketplace
Author | Nicholas L. Miller, Tristan A. Volpe |
6-01-0-20-131.pdf | |
Date | April 2022 |
Classification | 6.01.0.20/131 (IMPORTANCE WORLDWIDE) |
Front |
From the publication:
The rise of the autocratic nuclear marketplace Nicholas L. Miller, Tristan A. Volpe Department of Government, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH; Defense Analysis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, USA; Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington, DC JOURNAL OF STRATEGIC STUDIES Published online: 03 Apr 2022 ABSTRACT The United States established itself as the dominant supplier of civil nuclear technology in the 1960s. But Moscow soon caught up, supplanting Washington after the Cold War. What led to the rise of this autocratic nuclear marketplace? We identify two factors. First, polarity shapes the motives for states to pursue civil nuclear exports. The superpowers faced strong motivations under bipolarity, but unipolarity put greater pressure on Russia to compete for influence with nuclear exports. Second, regime type affects state capacity to execute this strategy. We find that Moscow enjoyed an autocratic advantage, which insulated its nuclear industry from domestic opposition. KEYWORDS Economic statecraft; nuclear trade; nonproliferation; regime type; great power competition