Laka Foundation

Publication Laka-library:
OSC analysis: Kazakhstan – Opening up for nuclear collaboration (2009)

Author
-
DateOctober 2009
Classification 4.35.0.00/01 (KAZAKHSTAN - GENERAL)
Front

From the publication:

OSC Analysis: Kazakhstan - Opening Up for Nuclear Collaboration
FEA20091007954431 - OSC Feature - Kazakhstan -- OSC Analysis 06 Oct 09

Kazakhstan, a country with an extensive nuclear infrastructure as a legacy of the 
Soviet Union, has decided to rely on civilian nuclear programs for economic 
development and has reached out to numerous countries for cooperation in nuclear 
areas. Nursultan Nazarbaev, who has been at the helm of Kazakhstan since the 
Soviet era, has been very skilled in creating equivalent relations with all major 
players in the region, including the USA, EU, Russia, India and China. While
the country still has strong links to Russian nuclear infrastructure, Kazakhstan has 
made an effort to cooperate with other countries, and has in turn placed pressure on 
Russia to be more attractive in business dealings. With the stated desire to move to 
higher-end nuclear products, Kazakhstan established a special relationship with 
Russia for enrichment, so it can produce and export more economically 
advantageous fuel assemblies, rather than its current manufacture of interim 
products. The concerns of the international community regarding the Kazakhstan-
Russian enrichment cooperation, in summary, focus on Kazakhstan's position as a 
country that may find it attractive to acquire enrichment technology, and Russia's 
ability to provide such technology in order to maintain clout in its traditional sphere 
of influence and retain a resource-rich neighbor. Alternatively, Kazakhstan may be 
tempted to acquire enrichment technology from China, which China will be tempted 
to provide to secure its relations with Kazakhstan vis-à-vis India. Moreover, in its 
desire to cultivate nuclear deals with multiple countries, Kazakhstan may be 
reaching out to cooperate with Iran as a regional power. Amidst Kazakhstan's 
ambitions, there is the additional complicating issue of power succession: 
Nazarbaev, the first President of Kazakhstan and approaching 70, has been 
successful leading the country since 1991, but leadership that will replace him 
remains unclear. With his grip on power, Nazarbaev has groomed some obedient 
parties and officials, but whether they will be able to retain his power and tight 
control, or pursue his nuclear agenda, is unclear and what direction the country
will follow under the new leadership is uncertain.

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